Brian McGraw

Post image for Washington Post Chides Obama Over Energy

In an editorial cleverly titled, “Drill, Brazil, Drill says the U.S.The Washington Post joined in the growing public displeasure over President Obama’s public support for the Brazilian oil industry, which seems to be rising at the expense of administration support for the oil industry in the United States.

As CEI’s Myron Ebell pointed out last week:

This is the same President who has spent the last two years doing everything he can to reduce oil production in the United States.  Cancelled and delayed exploration leases on federal lands in the Rocky Mountains; the re-institution of the executive moratorium on offshore exploration in the Atlantic, the Pacific, most Alaskan waters, and the eastern Gulf of Mexico; the deepwater permitting moratorium and the de facto moratorium in the western Gulf.  The result is that domestic oil production is about to start a steep decline.

The editorial also mentions the tariff on ethanol. Trade restrictions are bad policy. However, the case for Brazilian ethanol is slightly more complicated than that. If Brazilian ethanol were imported to the U.S., it might displace some ethanol production that is occurring in the U.S. as historically Brazilian ethanol has been cheaper. This would be fine.

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Post image for Iain Murray on Japan’s Nuclear Crisis

CEI’s Iain Murray has an op-ed in The Washington Times today explaining what can be learned from the ongoing nuclear crisis in Japan.

Here’s an excerpt:

Without this vigorous defense of nuclear, the Obama energy plan will have a massive hole at its core – one that cannot be filled by wind and solar power any more than it can be filled by fairy dust. The obvious answer is for the administration to stop its war on coal, but that is unlikely. The only other plausible choice is natural gas, derived by hydraulic fracturing – a procedure that environmentalists are already trying to ban. If they want to keep their plan going in any workable form, the president and Mr. Chu need to tell Americans unequivocally where their future power is going to come from, and push back against ideological environmentalists who are trying to ban practical sources of energy.

Read the rest here.

Post image for Ethanol Industry Continues to Deflect Blame on Food Prices

Instead, they blame those darned speculators (are they aware of the important role played by commodity markets?) again. The industry continues to find support in high places:

Speaking to farmers earlier this month, the Obama administration’s agriculture secretary said he found arguments from the like of Nestlé “irritating”. Mr Vilsack said: “The folks advancing this argument either do not understand or do not accept the notion that our farmers are as productive and smart and innovative and creative enough to meet the needs of food and fuel and feed and export.”

Well, the price of corn has almost doubled in the last 6 months. Now, its obviously unfair to blame this entirely on biofuels. Food crops are heavily dependent on a number of other important factors like the price of oil, the weather, crop yields, etc. However, with 35% of U.S. corn being turned into biofuels, it clearly has a major effect on the price, driving it upwards (and driving other commodities higher as well, as farmland becomes more scarce). Globally, U.S. exports provide about 60% of total corn supply.

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Post image for California Judge Halts Implementation of Climate Change Policies

Via the Los Angeles Times.

Ironically, the cap-and-trade program has been temporarily halted due to a lawsuit brought forth by other environmental groups, concerned that the CARB did not sufficiently consider alternatives to a C&T program such as a direct carbon tax:

The groups contend that a cap-and-trade program would allow refineries, power plants and other big facilities in poor neighborhoods to avoid cutting emissions of both greenhouse gases and traditional air pollutants.

“This decision is good for low-income communities like Wilmington, Carson and Richmond,” said Bill Gallegos, executive director of Communities for a Better Environment. “It means that oil refineries, which emit enormous amounts of greenhouse gases and contribute to big health problems, cannot simply keep polluting by purchasing pollution credits, or doing out of state projects.”

This logic is odd, as even under a cap-and-trade program, oil refineries won’t simply disappear. It’s possible that they might be required to reduce their own pollution rather than buying permits, but this speaks mainly to the design of the cap-and-trade program. A small carbon tax would likely have the same effect, and if the design of the cap-and-trade program is any hint, it would be difficult to pass a significant carbon tax.

However, given that the program involves distributing initial permits to many companies for free (which, according to Wikipedia, will cover 90% of their emissions), a pure carbon tax would involve less corporatism.

Do recall the CARB press release touting the economic benefits of this program:

The economic analysis compares the recommendations in the draft Scoping Plan to doing nothing and shows that implementing the recommendations will result in:

  • Increased economic production of $27 billion
  • Increased overall gross state product of $4 billion
  • Increased overall personal income by $14 billion
  • Increased per capita income of $200
  • Increased jobs by more than 100,000

and subsequent commentary offered by peer review (many of whom support the program, none of whom buy into the free-lunch aspect):

Professor Robert Stavins, the Director of Harvard’s Environmental Economics Program:

I have come to the inescapable conclusion that the economic analysis is terribly deficient in critical ways and should not be used by the State government or the public for the purpose of assessing the likely costs of CARB’s plans. I say this with some sadness, because I was hopeful that CARB would produce sensible policy proposals analyzed with sound scientific and economic analysis.

 

Post image for With Rising Gas Prices, is E85 a Better Deal?

No. A few reports have surfaced across the country about motorists with flex fuel vehicles beginning to fuel up with E85 rather than regular unleaded gasoline (E10). From the perspective of an uninformed consumer, E85 costs less than unleaded gasoline. It also gets worse mileage. Look at this article from Minnesota:

“E85 is almost always priced less than gasoline, and many flex fuel vehicle owners in this region have been choosing the lower priced fuel for years,” said Kelly Marczak, Director of the clean fuel and vehicle technologies program for the American Lung Association in Minnesota. “Today, the price difference is so large, even people who had never used E85 before are giving it a try.”

Marczak said that while E85 delivers less miles per gallon than gasoline, the broad price spread between the two fuels makes E85 a bargain for many flex fuel vehicle owners.

This is untrue, and its almost certain that Marczak is aware that its not true. The most recent average price spread I could find for average fuel prices in Minnesota is here. It lists the average price of E85 at $2.87 and the average price of gasoline (presumably with 5-10% ethanol) at $3.45.

For consumers to be better off financially purchasing E85, the price of gasoline would have to be approximately $4.37 with the E85 price holding at $2.87. Pure ethanol gets roughly 66% of the mileage that pure gasoline is capable of reaching, as a result, you must buy a lot more gasoline to drive the same number of miles. This can be confirmed by checking the Department of Energy’s Flex Fuel Cost Calculator. They make it really easy to find out how much money you lose each year using E85.

As you can see here, E85 prices tend to track gasoline prices pretty closely, so without funneling taxpayer dollars into making E85 even cheaper, or a technological breakthrough, this is unlikely to happen anytime soon.

By Myron Ebell and Brian McGraw

President Barack Obama’s choice of Jeffrey Immelt, chairman and CEO of General Electric, to head his new Council on Jobs and Competitiveness demonstrates once again how clueless the president is about the economy. Having not caused enough damage in the past few years, Obama is doubling down on policies that are slowing the still fragile economic recovery. If the president really wanted to help the economy and create jobs, he would do the opposite of what Jeffrey Immelt has done at General Electric and has advocated for national policy.

As head of General Electric since 2001, Immelt has spent a decade driving what was once one of the greatest companies in the world into the ground. Under legendary CEO Jack Welch, General Electric’s stock rose from $5 a share in 1991 to over $40 per share when Welch retired in 2001. As Welch’s successor, Immelt has halved the value of General Electric over the last ten years, whose stock value has not exceeded $20 per share since late 2008. Despite his unsuccessful tenure at General Electric, President Obama is now giving Immelt free-rein to do the same to the American economy.

On broader issues of economic policy, Immelt is the perfect model of a crony capitalist. Instead of building his company to succeed in a competitive free-market, he has devoted most of his efforts to securing handouts, special deals, and subsidies for various General Electric businesses in Washington D.C. This is clearly what attracts President Obama to Immelt, a savvy political operator despite being a bust as the head of General Electric

Even more, Immelt, along with James Rogers of Duke Energy, has been among the biggest business promoters of cap-and-trade legislation. Cap-and-trade is now dead, but had it been enacted it would have been the biggest hit on the U.S. economy and on working Americans ever perpetrated by the U.S. government. Cap-and-trade would benefit many of General Electric’s businesses at the expense of American workers and consumers. This was no secret. As then-candidate Obama said in 2008, “electricity rates would necessarily sky rocket” under the proposed legislation supported by both Immelt and Obama.

Though cap-and-trade is dead, the Obama administration has decided to ignore Congress and pursue harmful energy-rationing policies through regulatory fiat. The EPA’s regulation of greenhouse gas emissions will bring higher energy prices and less money in consumer’s pockets to spend, causing an immense strain on the fragile budgets of American families during a recession. Higher electric rates will also make American manufacturing even less competitive with its foreign rivals, leading to the mass export of America’s manufacturing jobs.

In short, Immelt has put into practice at General Electric policies that are hurting his company, his shareholders, and his workers. He has advocated national economic policies that would do the same for America. As a reward for all of this, President Obama has selected Immelt to head yet another PR effort that will do nothing to roll back any of the job-killing policies enacted by the Obama administration.

This piece will be featured in the print edition of  The Tea Party Review (teapartyreview.com).

The Renewable Fuels Association posted a note today deploring the recent lawsuit by the American Petroleum Institute over the EPA decision to increase the maximum blend wall for ethanol in conventional gasoline by 50% from E10 to E15. They claim that it is motivated by “corporate greed.”

Oil companies are in the business of refining oil and selling gasoline to consumers. They aren’t in the business (well, some of them are at this point having bought ethanol plants) of producing and selling ethanol — they don’t make money from it. What would Coca-Cola say if the FDA began mandating that Coca-Cola begin blending increasing percentages of an off-brand cola into their product in order to give the off-brand a guaranteed market share? I suspect they wouldn’t be too happy with this and would fight to be allowed to sell their product as it is, without required additives.

Furthermore, there are still a number of issues the EPA hasn’t clarified with respect to liability for E15. E15 has been approved for newer vehicles, but it isn’t quite clear that it is okay to use in many of the older vehicles still on the road today. It also isn’t clear that E15 can be used in lawn mowers, outboard boating engines, etc. Will the oil refiners be responsible for damages by people who mis-fuel? Will the ethanol industry take responsibility for any problems? (No) Will engine warranties be valid if consumers use a fuel they aren’t supposed to?

Apparently, a portion of the Clean Air Act allows consumers to sue retailers if they put the wrong type of fuel in their vehicle. If stations are now offering E10 and E15 there will be mis-fuelings, and if these lead to damages then there are going to be lawsuits going everywhere. Aside from the obvious loss of profit, it isn’t surprising that the API wants to avoid this liability nightmare.

Are the oil companies displaying corporate greed here? Or is it the ethanol industry who has used government to obtain guaranteed access to a larger and larger portion of the fuel supply (as well as a tax credit on top of it)?

Green Buyer Beware

by Brian McGraw on October 26, 2010

in Blog

TerraChoice, an environmental marketing and consulting firm, released a report recently identifying a troubling trend in the marketplace for “green” products. The green marketplace has exploded in the past few years, with their 2010 report noting a 73% increase in the availability of green products.

The executive summary of the report indicates that over 95% of products identified as green have committed at least one of the “Seven Sins of Greenwashing”. A glass-half-empty approach might report that less than 5% of products labeled “green” pass the test.

From the report, the Seven Sins of Greenwashing:

1. Sin of the Hidden Trade Off

2. Sin of No Proof

3. Sin of Vagueness

4. Sin of Irrelevance

5. Sin of Lesser of Two Evils

6. Sin of Fibbing

7. Sin of Worshipping False Labels

A hastily completed look at consumer preference for green products led me here, which indicates that a majority of consumers claim to prefer green products, but aren’t nearly as willing to cough up the extra dollars for green products.

Buying Green? The report stated that Big Box Stores (Target, Wal-Mart, etc.) are most likely to carry products that live up to their “green” labeling, though even significant improvements from a 95% failure rate aren’t very promising.

Politicians using Q&A sessions to promote talking points and push half-truths is rarely worth looking at, though Grassley’s skillfull balance of promising everything to his constituents is an exception:

5. How would you lower or eliminate the federal budget deficit?

According to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, a discretionary spending freeze would save $1.7 trillion over the next 10 years. This freeze can be accomplished by reducing wasteful spending while protecting vital programs. Congress should begin with a moratorium on congressional earmarks and continue with a ban on non-essential government travel. Congress should consolidate duplicate programs and terminate programs that fail to achieve intended results as determined by the administration’s Program Assessment Rating Tool (PART).

Talking Point 1 – Convince citizens that you’re serious about the budget woes of the U.S. without discussing any real way to solve it.

4. Do you think global climate change is a threat, and how would you deal with it?

If the United States acts alone to cap carbon dioxide, Americans would pay more for energy and goods, without any measurable impact on the climate. EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson testified that unilateral action by the U.S. would provide no real environmental gain. A carbon cap without including the largest emitter, China, and other developing nations, would mean lost jobs for Americans. Any effort to reduce greenhouse gases should be made through an international agreement. The cap-and-trade legislation passed last year by the House of Representatives would increase the cost of energy for homes and businesses, especially in the Midwest.

Talking Point 2 – Increases in energy costs are bad if unmet by other countries (non-committal).

8. Do you support continued subsidies for ethanol? If so, how, if at all, would you change them?

In April, I introduced legislation to extend through 2015 the ethanol blender’s credit, the small ethanol producer tax credit, the cellulosic producer tax credit and the ethanol import tariff. Extension of these policies is the right thing to do because bio-fuels offer an alternative to foreign oil and generate economic activity in the United States. Today, ethanol comprises nearly 10 percent of the U.S. fuel supply. Ethanol produced in the Midwest replaces oil from Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Nigeria. Ethanol is good for rural economies, and a recent study found that the failure to extend the blender’s credit and the secondary tariff would result in the loss of 112,000 jobs nationwide and reduce ethanol production by nearly 40 percent. Iowa would lose the most jobs at nearly 30,000. The lapse of the separate tax credit for biodiesel, which expired at the end of 2009, also has cost jobs. Last year, 29,000 clean-energy jobs were lost nationwide and many of the remaining 23,000 jobs have disappeared with the lapse in the credit. We can’t risk a repeat performance with ethanol, where 112,000 jobs are at stake.

Talking Point 3 – Ignoring the several inaccuracies in this last question, talking point 3 involves a reminder to constituents that though he is incredibly serious about reigning in these budget deficits (and not raising energy prices), he isn’t going to cut anything near and dear to Iowa.

A question for you, Senator Grassley: What effect do you think the continued pursuit of the Renewable Fuel Standard will have on the energy prices for Americans? Instead of buying oil from foreign countries will we be spending $65.00 per gallon on fuel?

The EPA recently approved a 50% increase in ethanol blends for cars manufactured after 2006, moving from E10 to E15. This means that gas stations are now free to offer E15 as well as E10 as options at the pump. It isn’t likely that many gas stations will be taking advantage of these new rules for a number of reasons.

One important issue is that the EPA has not made it clear who will be liable for consumers who damage their automobiles by using higher blends of ethanol that aren’t appropriate for their vehicle. Automobile manufacturers are worried that they will be held liable through warranties and required to repair engines, retailers share the same concern.

The EPA has not provided sufficient details on these liability issues, despite the E15 approval:

“The EPA said in its proposed E15 label rule that it would not typically hold a fuel retailer liable for customer misfueling into any vehicle, engine or piece of equipment, provided that the station’s pumps were properly labeled. That does little to comfort retail fuel groups such as NACS, which claim that the Clean Air Act includes a provision that allows for citizens to sue retailers for misfuelings. NACS said it is concerned that misfuelings could be both accidental and intentional, and labels may not provide them with enough litigation protection. “

It is funny to see the ethanol industry so frustrated by these burdensome government-imposed regulations, while they ignore the reality that government support of their industry is the basis for much of their revenue in the first place.

In response to problems stemming from confusion at the pump, the National Association of Convenience Stores offered up a brilliant solution: “The easiest way to remedy the situation is to mandate that everything’s full-serve, that you do not allow the customer to have the opportunity to misfuel, either deliberately or unintentionally,” said NACS spokesman Jeff Lenard.

I’m surprised he didn’t mention that it would create millions of green low paying jobs. Mandating full service pumps would benefit large incumbent gasoline franchises at the expense of smaller stations. This was certainly the case in New Jersey (where full-service stations are required), whose gasoline stations were closely involved in overturning propositions to strike down these laws.