William Yeatman

Bush’s Climate Diplomacy

by William Yeatman on September 24, 2007

Amid a mounting sense of urgency about the need for action to slow climate change, President Bush this week will be playing what is, for him, an unusually prominent role in high-level diplomatic meetings on how to confront global warming.

The White House yesterday announced the agenda for a climate change conference next week, but firmly rejected calls from European countries and some environmentalists that the United States agree to fixed emissions standards.

India, China Climate Rift?

by William Yeatman on September 24, 2007

Talks on global warming in the United States next week may be complicated by differences among developing countries as their climate policy positions diverge.

The significant problems that might be caused by global warming are indisputable; all the major figures in climate economics agree. Yet they also, with the exception of Sir Nicholas, agree that drastic action now would be even more costly.

The chairman of the U.S. Congressional Oversight and Government Reform Committee on Wednesday sent a letter to the Environmental Protection Agency administrator saying the EPA erred in approving a new coal-fired power plant in Utah three weeks ago.

Two environmental groups are suing the federal government, contending that the Conservatives failed to comply with legislation meant to force their hand to meet Kyoto Protocol targets.

Climate change may lead to lush growth rather than catastrophic tree loss in the Amazonian forests, researchers from the US and Brazil have found.

The High Costs of Ethanol

by William Yeatman on September 19, 2007

Backed by the White House, corn-state governors and solid blocks on both sides of Congress’s partisan divide, the politics of biofuels could hardly look sunnier. The economics of the American drive to increase ethanol in the energy supply are more discouraging.

Ozone: The WHole Truth

by William Yeatman on September 19, 2007

Environmentalists have made many apocalyptic predictions over the last several decades. Virtually none has come to pass. Yet each time, the greens and their political allies proclaim victory, arguing their preventive prescriptions averted disaster.

Such is the case with the 1987 Montreal Protocol On Substances That Deplete The Ozone Layer (Montreal Protocol). The lurid predictions of ozone depletion-induced skin cancer epidemics, ecosystem destruction and others haven't come true, for which Montreal Protocol proponents congratulate themselves.

But in retrospect, the evidence shows ozone depletion was an exaggerated threat in the first place. As the treaty parties return to Montreal for their 20th anniversary meeting it should be cause for reflection, not celebration, especially for those who hope to repeat this "success story" in the context of global warming.

On the (more) good news front, yet another court has weighed in to thumb its nose at the ridiculously reasoned SCOTUS opinion in Massachusetts et al v. EPA which strongly suggested that EPA should regulate emissions of carbon dioxide from new automobiles – and presumably all GHGs from all substantial sources, including water vapor – as a pollutant under the Clean Air Act.

In the same context of auto emissions – but with California seeking not regulatory authority but damages in tort from auto emission-caused global warming – the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California (!) stated the obvious:

“The court is left without guidance in determining what is an unreasonable contribution to the sum of carbon dioxide in the earth's atmosphere, or in determining who should bear the costs associated with global climate change that admittedly result from multiple sources around the globe.”

How much is too much and whose pocket would I pick, how badly?  I admit that this stance is grounded specifically in the plaintiffs relying on a long line of jurisprudence on transboundary nuisance, which the court noted are “distinguishable because none of the pollution-as-public nuisance cases implicates a comparable number of national and international policy issues.”  Still, isn’t it amazing the difference it can make when one dares to shrug off likely political venom and confront the fragile nature of the claims?

This applies to the court here, as well, which actually showed courage when finding that “injecting itself into the global warming thicket at this juncture would require an initial policy determination of the type reserved for the political branches of government … and would potentially undermine the political branches’ strategic choices.”  That is, it also asked, at what cost?

Here the court is invoking the political question doctrine, one of two rationales cited on August 31 by the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Mississippi which threw out a class action lawsuit essentially blaming 26 energy companies for Hurricane Katrina.

Like the San Francisco court, the court in Biloxi also dismissed Ned Comer, et al. v. Murphy Oil USA Inc., et al., on the grounds that the plaintiffs identified no “standing” to sue (the opposite of what SCOTUS found for parties also lacking in such status, but here the court also articulated a distinction in the nature of their complaints to deny standing; in truth both groups’ claims to unique and actual harm are risible).

It is key to have yet another court saying this on the heels of the Katrina class action, yet completely at odds with the Vermont federal court’s ruling late last week that the California court seemingly had waited on to issue its opinion, indicating it a possible intention to defer to those proceedings. Recall that “In considering a Rule 12(b)(6) motion, the Court accepts the plaintiff’s material allegations in the complaint as true and construes them in the light most favorable to the plaintiff” – that is, this ruling is made while accepting California’s claims that cars have caused part of observed climate changes.

Most surprising is how such commonsense assertions persist in the judicial realm on the heels of Mass v EPA, an absurd opinion cited 13 times by the court in San Francisco but which was only made possible by poor a) strategy and b) oral argument (no one spoke up to support Scalia’s inquiry about a linear relationship between marginal reductions in global CO2 emissions and alleged impact, in response to Breyer's fantastic statement that a 2% reduction would “save 2% of Massachusetts’s coastline”). 

So, all remains on hold as these things wind their respective ways through the courts – hopefully with some support from EPA which now has more reason than ever to inform the Court that they elect not to regulate CO2 because the notion of some exaggerated 20th century warming trend has been debunked.