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Wealth Protects Better Against Natural Disasters

Daren Bakst, John Locke Foundation
May 8, 2008

From The Locker Room:

If the same category four cyclone (or "hurricane" in the Atlantic) hit an industrialized country, the storm would have been harmful but not even remotely close to the devastation that exists today in Myanmar.

This tragedy doesn't provide ammunition for global warming (category four cyclones aren't unique), but for the need for countries and their citizens to develop better infrastructure, build better buildings, have better emergency services, etc.

The only way these changes will happen is if poor countries are able to generate the wealth necessary to make the changes. The only way for the U.S. to better protect itself against hurricanes is to ensure that we continue to be a wealthy country.

Al and friends instead want to tell third world countries that the single most critical factor to develop wealth, low-cost energy, should be prohibited. They want to adopt policies that would keep the poor countries poor and put wealthy countries on a path to poverty.

The Beacon Hill Institute examined the impact that policies being considered by the Legislative Commission on Global Climate Change would have on North Carolina. Please recognize that these policies wouldn't even come close to what the zealots want in terms of reductions in carbon dioxide. Policies include a cap and trade program, taxes on driving, taxes on electricity use, etc.

From the press release: “By 2011, the state would shed more than 33,000 jobs,” according to the report from the Beacon Hill Institute, the research arm of the economics department at Boston’s Suffolk University. “Annual investment would drop by about $502.4 million, real disposable income by more than $2.2 billion, and real state Gross Domestic Product by about $4.5 billion.”

When the Beacon Hill Instutute presented this data to the Commission, there wasn't a dispute about the numbers. Those trying to argue weren't concerned with the actual loss of jobs and the devastation on the economy, but instead were pointing out that this is a price that needs to be paid.

North Carolina, the U.S. and for that matter the entire globe have to make choices. We can choose to adopt policies that would have no effect (PDF) on temperature and have devastating effects on our economy and our ability to prepare for major storms or we can choose to be sensible and do all we can to ensure that public policy doesn't undermine countries from having the wealth necessary to protect themselves from natural disasters.

I'm inclined to favor the latter option, but that's just me.

Watching the world's poor

Watching the world's poor cope with Hurricanes and volcanoes should give us all pause when we think about destroying the US economy by asinine taxation.

Rather than watch, maybe we should help them out, by giving them a power plant or two instead of bags of rice.

Poor nations on Global warming

With the effects of global warming around the world, poor nations are the most affected. Stronger typhoons or cyclones makes them poorer. If we look at the statistics on who are the major contributors to global warming, these poor countries only contribute a very minimal percentage.

Its time for every citizen to at least help minimize the effects of global warming. We can do this if every individual or every nation especially those who have the wealth to contribute something. Make good environmental policies.

Wealth and development

An interesting contrast to this cyclone in Burma is the impact of Cyclone Sidr in Bangladesh just last year. A category 4 cyclone that displaced something like 500,000 people, but caused around 5,000 deaths. This was due to the improved disaster preparedness in Bangladesh following on from massive loss of life to major cyclones in 1970 (about 500,000) and 1991 (over 100,000). Bangladesh could hardly be considered to be highly developed compared to Burma, but a sensible policy of preparedness plus an open attitude to disaster relief has meant that cyclones do far less long term damage. The ability of Bangladesh to put in place cyclone preparedness is directly related to the growth in the economy and anything that slows that growth will increase the human misery from natural disasters.

Cyclones in this region happen year in year out. Regardless of what may or may not happen with climate change, development is the way to reduce loss of life and damage.