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	<title>GlobalWarming.org &#187; Peter van Doren</title>
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		<title>Why Is Congress Lethargic about Energy?</title>
		<link>http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/04/24/why-is-congress-lethargic-about-energy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/04/24/why-is-congress-lethargic-about-energy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Apr 2013 02:54:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marlo Lewis</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[911]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amy Harder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arab oil embargo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breakthrough Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BTU tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cap and trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carbon tax]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Craig Idso]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mills]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarming.org/?p=16647</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This week National Journal&#8217;s Energy Experts Blog poses the question: &#8220;What&#8217;s holding back energy &#38; climate policy.&#8221; So far 14 wonks have posted comments including yours truly. What I propose to do here is &#8216;revise and extend my remarks&#8217; to provide a clearer, more complete explanation of Capitol Hill&#8217;s energy lethargy. To summarize my conclusions in advance, [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/04/24/why-is-congress-lethargic-about-energy/" title="Permanent link to Why Is Congress Lethargic about Energy?"><img class="post_image alignright" src="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/you-cant-get-there-from-here.jpg" width="250" height="155" alt="Post image for Why Is Congress Lethargic about Energy?" /></a>
</p><p>This week <em>National Journal&#8217;s</em> <a href="http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2013/04/whats-holding-back-energy-clim.php#comments">Energy Experts Blog</a> poses the question: &#8220;What&#8217;s holding back energy &amp; climate policy.&#8221; So far 14 wonks have posted comments including <a href="http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2013/04/whats-holding-back-energy-clim.php#2320947">yours truly</a>. What I propose to do here is &#8216;revise and extend my remarks&#8217; to provide a clearer, more complete explanation of Capitol Hill&#8217;s energy lethargy.</p>
<p>To summarize my conclusions in advance, there is no momentum building for the kind of comprehensive energy legislation Congress enacted in 2005 and 2007, or the major energy bills the House passed in 2011, because:</p>
<ul>
<li>We are not in a presidential election year so Republicans have less to gain from passing pro-energy legislation just to frame issues and clarify policy differences for the electorate;</li>
<li>Divided government makes it virtually impossible either for congressional Republicans to halt and reverse the Obama administration&#8217;s regulatory war on fossil fuels or for Hill Democrats to pass cap-and-trade, carbon taxes, or a national clean energy standard;</li>
<li>Democrats paid a political price for cap-and-trade and won&#8217;t champion carbon taxes without Republicans agreeing to commit political suicide by granting them bipartisan cover;</li>
<li>The national security and climate change rationales for anti-fossil fuel policies were always weak but have become increasingly implausible thanks to North America&#8217;s resurgence as an oil and gas producing province, Climategate, and developments in climate science;</li>
<li>Multiple policy failures in Europe and the U.S. have eroded public and policymaker support for &#8217;green&#8217; energy schemes;</li>
<li>It has become increasingly evident that the Kyoto crusade was a foredoomed attempt to put policy carts before technology horses; and,</li>
<li>The EPA is &#8217;enacting&#8217; climate policy via administrative fiat, so environmental campaigners no longer need legislation to advance their agenda.</li>
</ul>
<p><span id="more-16647"></span></p>
<p><em><strong>Divided Government, Messaging Bills, Cap-and-Trade Casualties</strong></em></p>
<p>Divided government can produce gridlock, yet the latter need not induce legislative torpor. In the 112th Congress, the House passed several energy- or climate-related bills drafted by the Energy and Commerce Committee. Those include the Energy Tax Prevention Act (H.R. 910), Farm Dust Regulation Prevention Act (H.R. 1633), North American-Made Energy Security Act (H.R. 1938), Jobs and Energy Permitting Act (H.R. 2250), Coal Residuals Reuse and Management Act (H.R. 2273), Transparency in Regulatory Analysis of Impacts on the Nation Act (H.R. 2401), Cement Sector Regulatory Relief Act (H.R. 2681), Pipeline Infrastructure and Community Protection Act (H.R. 2937), Resolving Environmental and Grid Reliability Conflicts Act (H.R. 4273), Domestic Energy and Jobs Act (H.R. 4480), American Manufacturing Competitiveness Act (H.R. 5865), Hydropower Regulatory Efficiency Act (H.R. 5892), and No More Solyndras Act (H.R. 6213). All died in the Senate.</p>
<p>This flurry of legislative activity can in part be explained by the political dynamics of the 2012 presidential election cycle. By holding hearings on and passing those bills, Republicans sought to frame the issues and clarify policy differences for the electorate. A central objective was to focus public attention on which party supports and which opposes creating jobs through domestic energy production. House Republicans may launch another ambitious energy offensive as we get closer to the 2014 mid-term elections and/or the 2016 presidential contest, but not likely before then.</p>
<p>Why though is there is no momentum on the other side of the aisle for the “comprehensive energy and climate legislation” once proudly championed by the Obama administration and environmental activists?</p>
<p>Starting with the most obvious reasons, <a href="http://cei.org/news-releases/cap-and-trade-hurts-democrats">29 Democrats</a> who voted for the Waxman-Markey cap-and-trade bill in June 2009 got pink slips from their constituents in November 2010. Key to defeating Waxman-Markey was its exposure as a stealth energy tax (&#8220;cap-n-tax&#8221;). This prompted a search for “<a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2010/11/03/press-conference-president">other ways to skin the cat</a>,” as President Obama put it, but finding other ways to fool the public was not easy.</p>
<p>With few options to pick from, some climate activists now advocate <a href="http://www.rff.org/Events/Pages/Comprehensive-Tax-Reform-and-Climate-Policy.aspx">carbon taxes</a>. But why should the public support an open, unvarnished energy tax when what doomed cap-and-trade was its outing as a sneaky energy tax? Cap-and-trade was in part an attempt to avoid a repeat of the political losses Democrats sustained in 1994 because of <a href="http://www.epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&amp;ContentRecord_id=1915f033-802a-23ad-4773-de4ddd0bd1c8">Al Gore&#8217;s Btu energy tax legislation in 1993</a>. Most Democrats in Congress are reluctant to tax carbon unless the GOP gives them bipartisan cover, but most Republicans realize that if they cave on carbon taxes, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2012/10/25/carbon-tax-will-tweedle-dum-snatch-defeat-from-the-jaws-of-victory/">they will demoralize and divide their base</a>.</p>
<p>Even aside from partisan calculations, few members of Congress want to take responsibility for raising energy prices during a period of high unemployment and anemic economic growth.</p>
<p><b><i>Obsolescent Worldviews</i></b></p>
<p>Probing a bit deeper, we find that once-fashionable alarms about climate change and foreign oil dependence no longer have the intellectual cachet they did a few years ago. The period from 2005 through 2007 was not only a high watermark of U.S. <a href="http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/article/foreign_oil_dependence.cfm">oil import dependence</a>, it was also a time when Al Gore’s <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0497116/"><i>An Inconvenient Truth</i></a>, the <a href="http://unfccc.int/key_documents/bali_road_map/items/6447.php">Bali Road Map</a>, and the IPCC’s <a href="http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/contents.html"><i>Fourth Assessment Report</i></a> (AR4) set the terms of national debate on climate change. A lot has happened since then.</p>
<p>Washington’s angst about oil embargoes, supply disruptions, and the link between Mideast oil and terror was always overblown, as Cato Institute scholars <a href="http://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/articles/taylor_vandoren_energy_security_obsession.pdf">Jerry Taylor and Peter Van Doren</a> explain:</p>
<ul>
<li>Because oil is a globally-traded commodity, the U.S. can circumvent any likely embargo by purchasing oil via third parties. Indeed, U.S. oil imports actually increased after the 1973 Arab oil embargo – from 3.2 million barrels per day in 1973 to 3.5 mbd in 1974.</li>
<li>Petro-states have more to lose from catastrophic disruptions than do their customers, which is why there hasn’t been one since the Iranian Revolution.</li>
<li>There is no correlation between OPEC profits and cross-border incidents of Islamic terror. The likely explanation is that terrorist attacks are low-budget operations (the 911 plotters spent <a href="http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/911/staff_statements/911_TerrFin_App.pdf">less than half a million dollars</a>) and therefore are not much affected by changes in oil prices or petro-state revenues.</li>
</ul>
<p>In recent years, the national security rationale for regulating America ‘beyond petroleum’ has become increasingly implausible, as advances in unconventional oil and gas production transform North America into a major producing region. Imports as a share of U.S. petroleum consumption declined from 60% in 2005 to <a href="http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/article/foreign_oil_dependence.cfm">45% in 2011</a>. More than half of those imports came from the Western hemisphere, and Canada’s share was more than double that of Saudi Arabia. In both <a href="http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/money/industries/energy/story/2011-12-31/united-states-export/52298812/1">2011</a> and <a href="http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/international/trade/2013/pdf/trad1212.pdf">2012</a>, petroleum products were the top U.S. exports. Some experts now view hydraulic fracturing and directional drilling as a source of <a href="http://www.energyindepth.org/tag/russia/">U.S. geopolitical influence</a>, arguing for example that the &#8216;shale revolution&#8217; undermines Russia&#8217;s leverage over Europe.</p>
<p>A <a href="http://fa.smithbarney.com/public/projectfiles/ce1d2d99-c133-4343-8ad0-43aa1da63cc2.pdf">March 2012 Citi report</a> concluded: “With no signs of this growth trend ending over the next decade, the growing continental surplus of hydrocarbons points to North America effectively becoming the new Middle East by the next decade; a growing hydrocarbon net exporting center.” Analyses by Citi, <a href="http://www.api.org/newsroom/upload/api-us_supply_economic_forecast.pdf">Wood McKenzie</a>, and <a href="http://www.ihs.com/info/ecc/a/shale-gas-jobs-report.aspx">IHS Global Insight</a> support the assessment of Manhattan Institute scholar <a href="http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/pgi_01.htm#notes">Mark Mills</a> that “unleashing the North American energy colossus” could create millions of new jobs by 2020 and provide hundreds of billions in cumulative new federal, state, and local tax revenues.</p>
<p>In short, a bright future for hydrocarbon energy now competes in the public mind with yesteryear’s gloomy forecasts of increasing oil depletion and dependency.</p>
<p>As for climate alarm, the <a href="http://www.troutmansanders.com/files/Uploads/Documents/EPA%20Pet%20Recon.pdf">Climategate emails</a> exposed some of the world&#8217;s most prestigious climatologists as schemers using the pretense of scientific objectivity for political purposes. This blow to their credibility also tarnished the UN-sponsored climate treaty negotiations.</p>
<p>Also deflating the push for coercive energy transformation is the <a href="http://judithcurry.com/2013/03/29/has-trenberth-found-the-missing-heat/">lack of any net global warming</a> over the past 16 years. There are competing explanations, but a plausible hypothesis, based on recent studies ably summarized by Cato Institute climatologist <a href="http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/global-lukewarming-another-good-intellectual-year-2012-edition">Chip Knappenberger</a>, is that Earth&#8217;s climate is less sensitive to greenhouse forcing than “consensus” science had assumed. What cannot be denied is that there is a <a href="http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/04/global-warming-slowdown-the-view-from-space/">disconnect</a> between the IPCC’s best estimate of projected warming and observations over the past decade.</p>
<p>In addition, numerous studies (summarized <a href="http://www.cato.org/pubs/Global-Climate-Change-Impacts.pdf">here</a> and <a href="http://www.co2science.org/education/reports/prudentpath/prudentpath.php">here</a>) undercut the credibility of scary climate change impact forecasts. A few examples:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v491/n7425/full/nature11621.html">King et al. (2012)</a>: The rate of Antarctic ice loss is not accelerating and translates to less than one inch of sea-level rise per century.</li>
<li><a href="http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/2012.04.pdf">Weinkle et al. (2012)</a>: There is no trend in the strength or frequency of land-falling hurricanes in the world&#8217;s five main hurricane basins during the past 50-70 years.</li>
<li><a href="http://econpapers.repec.org/article/sprclimat/v_3a113_3ay_3a2012_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a583-598.htm">Chenoweth and Divine (2012)</a>: There is no trend in the strength or frequency of tropical cyclones in the main Atlantic hurricane development corridor over the past 370 years.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ivm.vu.nl/en/Images/bouwer2011_BAMS_tcm53-210701.pdf">Bouwer (2011)</a>: There is no trend in hurricane-related damages since 1900 once economic loss data are adjusted for changes in population, wealth, and the consumer price index.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Tornadoes-number-strong-1950-2011.jpg">NOAA</a>: There is no trend since 1950 in the frequency of strong (F3-F5) U.S. tornadoes.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2012/08/14/hansen-is-wrong/#more-551">National Climate Data Center</a>: There is no trend since 1900 in U.S. soil moisture as measured by the <a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Palmer-Drought-Severity-Index.jpg">Palmer Drought Severity Index</a>.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/No-change-in-flood-risk-over-20th-century-Oct-2011.pdf">Hirsch and Ryberg (2011)</a>: There is no trend in U.S. flood magnitudes over the past 85 years.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14594620">Davis et al. (2003)</a>: As U.S. urban air temperatures have increased, heat-related mortality has declined.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.thegwpf.org/indur-m-goklany-global-death-toll-from-extreme-weather-events-declining/">Goklany (2010)</a>: Global deaths and death rates related to extreme weather have declined by 93% and 98%, respectively, since the 1920s.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.co2science.org/articles/V16/N4/C3.php">Range et al. (2012)</a>: There is no evidence of carbon dioxide-related mortalities of juvenile or adult mussels “even under conditions that far exceed the worst-case scenarios for future ocean acidification.”</li>
</ul>
<p>Skeptical blogs continually disseminate such findings to policymakers and the public.</p>
<p>During last year&#8217;s summer drought, NASA scientist James Hansen made a big splash with a <a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Hansen-PNAS-Extreme-Heat.pdf">study</a> in <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</em> and a <em>Washington Post</em> <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/climate-change-is-here--and-worse-than-we-thought/2012/08/03/6ae604c2-dd90-11e1-8e43-4a3c4375504a_story.html">op-ed</a> arguing that global warming was the cause of the four biggest hot spells of the past 10 years. However, as noted in skeptical blogs, meteorological analyses of the <a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2006GL027470/abstract">European heat wave of 2003</a>, the <a href="http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/csi/events/2010/russianheatwave/papers.html">Russian heat wave of 2010</a>, the <a href="http://blog.chron.com/climateabyss/2011/09/texas-drought-and-global-warming/">Texas-Oklahoma drought of 2011</a>, and the <a href="http://drought.gov/media/pgfiles/DTF%20Interpretation%20of%202012%20Drought%20FINAL%202%20pager.pdf">Midwest drought of 2012</a> attribute those events principally to natural variability.</p>
<p><b><i>Policy Failures</i></b></p>
<p>Last week the European Parliament refused to stop the <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324030704578426520736614486.html">EU carbon market from crashing</a>. This debacle, a setback to all who tout Europe as a model for U.S. climate and energy policy, was all but inevitable.</p>
<p>For months EU policymakers had been groping for the carbon price sweet spot. Were carbon prices too low or too high? The answer: <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/11/us-norway-co-idUSBRE88A0DC20120911">both</a>! Prices were criticized by environmental activists as too low to incentivize hoped-for technology innovation but criticized by industry as too high for Europe to stay competitive in the global marketplace. EU governments had to establish a “carbon compensation fund” to keep domestic manufacturers from off-shoring their operations. European manufacturers still would not support intervention to prop up falling carbon prices. So the EU Parliament decided to just let carbon prices crater, embracing in deed if not in speech the carbon policy advocated by G.W. Bush. Ha!</p>
<p>Fiscal realities have also forced EU governments to scale back green energy subsidies. <i><a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2013/03/21/europe-renewable-energy/2006245/">USA Today</a></i> reported last month: “European governments have now realized this growth – which saw consumers footing the bill for investors’ soaring profit margins – was out of control: The UK and Czech Republic have already cut their subsidies in half, while Italy imposed a cap on new renewable energy providers. Germany cut subsidies by up to 30% and announced a major overhaul of the program Thursday.” In this respect, too, Europe has become a model of what U.S. policymakers should avoid.</p>
<p>The Obama administration, predictably, has decided to double down on renewables. The <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/factsheet/making-america-a-magnet-for-manufacturing-jobs">President&#8217;s Budget</a> proposes to make the controversial renewable energy production tax credit (PTC) “permanent.” That, however, is a tacit confession wind and solar will never stand on their own feet without subsidy, despite the wind industry telling us for years that it is on the verge of becoming competitive with coal and gas. With the nation $16.8 trillion in debt, the President’s $23 billion PTC initiative is likely D.O.A. in the House.</p>
<p>The growing list of <a href="http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/stimulosers/">Stimu-Losers</a> also undermines congressional support for green venture socialism. Besides Solyndra, failed or troubled recipients of DOE loans or guarantees include Beacon Power, Evergreen Solar, Range Fuels, Amonix, A123 Systems, Nevada Geothermal Power, Abound Solar, and, recently in the news, Fisker Automotive. According to a <a href="http://www.privco.com/fisker-automotives-road-to-ruin">Privco report</a>, Fisker lost over $1.3 billion in private and taxpayer capital, spending $660,000 for each $103,000 electric vehicle it produced before firing three-quarters of its employees.</p>
<p>Lawmakers from both parties have even begun to <a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/content/white-paper-series-on-renewable-fuel-standard">reconsider</a> and <a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Coalition-Support-for-RFS-Reform_FINAL.pdf">challenge</a> the once popular Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program. This <a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/RFS-Production-Quota-Schedule1.jpg">15-year central plan</a> increases <a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/2013/02/06/ethanol-bad-deal-for-consumers-gets-worse/">consumers’ pain at the pump</a>, expands aquatic <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Dead-zone-in-gulf-linked-to-ethanol-production-3183032.php">dead</a> <a href="http://www.thedailygreen.com/environmental-news/latest/dead-zone-fertilizers-47082802">zones</a>, makes food <a href="http://www.biofuelsjournal.com/articles/ActionAid_Report__True_Cost_of_Ethanol_in_Times_of_Drought-127407.html">less affordable</a> to the <a href="http://www.jpands.org/vol16no1/goklany.pdf">world’s poorest people</a>, plows up <a href="http://www.ewg.org/release/time-reform-environmentally-damaging-corn-ethanol-mandate">millions of acres of wildlife habitat</a>, and <a href="http://www.aibs.org/bioscience-press-releases/resources/Hertel.pdf">puts at least as much carbon in the atmosphere</a> as the gasoline it displaces. Although the RFS still has defenders in Congress, hardly anyone on the Hill today talks about beefing up the RFS with flex-fuel vehicle mandates or subsidized biofuel pipelines, blender pumps, and storage tanks.</p>
<p><b><i>Can’t Get There from Here</i></b></p>
<p>Green activists blame “<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/dr-james-hansen/obamas-second-chance-on-c_b_525567.html">oil-fueled, coal-powered</a>” politicians for Congress&#8217;s &#8216;failure&#8217; to address climate change. The real reason, however, is that nobody knows how to sustain a modern economy with wind turbines, solar panels, and biofuel.</p>
<p>The Breakthrough Institute developed this point in its <a href="http://thebreakthrough.org/blog/2010/09/collected_myths_about_the_deat.shtml">Death of Cap-and-Trade</a> blog posts. Because affordable energy is vital to prosperity and much of the world is energy poor, it would be economically ruinous and, thus, politically suicidal to make people abandon fossil fuels before cheaper alternative energies are available. That, however, is exactly what “comprehensive energy and climate legislation” aimed to do.</p>
<p>As the Breakthrough folks argue, if you’re worried about climate change, then your chief policy objective should be to make alternative energy cheaper than fossil energy. Instead, the green movement attempted to make fossil energy more costly than alternative energy, or to simply mandate the switch to alternative energy regardless of cost. Al Gore’s call in 2008 to “<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/al-gore/a-generational-challenge_b_113359.html">re-power America</a>” with zero-carbon energy within 10 years epitomizes this folly. More “moderate” variants would only do less harm, less rapidly.</p>
<p><b><i>EPA Is Legislating Climate Policy</i></b></p>
<p>Lastly, energy is on the legislative back burner because the EPA is already enacting the green movement’s agenda via administrative action. Why risk voter ire over controversial climate legislation when it is easier to sit back and watch the EPA take the heat or implement regulations few people outside of Washington even know about?</p>
<p>This situation is likely to persist as long as divided government persists. Many Democrats are content to let the EPA run roughshod over the separation of powers and implement policies the people’s representatives would reject if introduced as legislation and put to a vote. Many Republicans fear to challenge the EPA, knowing how difficult it is to overcome a presidential veto and how easily efforts to reclaim Congress&#8217;s authority to determine climate policy can be <a href="http://pjmedia.com/blog/climategate-moveons-triple-whopper/?singlepage=true">villified as attacks on science and children’s health</a>.</p>
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		<title>A Few Energy Links</title>
		<link>http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/05/31/a-few-energy-links/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/05/31/a-few-energy-links/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 May 2011 18:24:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brian McGraw</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarming.org/?p=8943</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. Everything you&#8217;ve heard about fossil fuels may be wrong, Michael Lind (Salon): The arguments for converting the U.S. economy to wind, solar and biomass energy have collapsed. The date of depletion of fossil fuels has been pushed back into the future by centuries &#8212; or millennia. The abundance and geographic diversity of fossil fuels [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/05/31/a-few-energy-links/" title="Permanent link to A Few Energy Links"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/links.jpg" width="400" height="196" alt="Post image for A Few Energy Links" /></a>
</p><p>1. <a href="http://www.salon.com/news/politics/war_room/index.html?story=/politics/war_room/2011/05/31/linbd_fossil_fuels&amp;source=newsletter&amp;utm_source=contactology&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=Salon_Daily%20Newsletter%20%28Not%20Premium%29_7_30_110">Everything you&#8217;ve heard about fossil fuels may be wrong</a>, Michael Lind (Salon):</p>
<blockquote><p>The arguments for converting the U.S. economy to wind, solar and biomass  energy have collapsed. The date of depletion of fossil fuels has been  pushed back into the future by centuries &#8212; or millennia. The abundance  and geographic diversity of fossil fuels made possible by technology in  time will reduce the dependence of the U.S. on particular foreign energy  exporters, eliminating the national security argument for renewable  energy. And if the worst-case scenarios for climate change were  plausible, then the most effective way to avert catastrophic global  warming would be the rapid expansion of nuclear power, not  over-complicated schemes worthy of Rube Goldberg or Wile E. Coyote to  carpet the world’s deserts and prairies with solar panels and wind farms  that would provide only intermittent energy from weak and diffuse  sources.</p></blockquote>
<p>A healthy, optimistic look at future energy supplies.</p>
<p><span id="more-8943"></span></p>
<p>2.  <a href="http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/677-e2-wire/163935-obama-to-nominate-former-energy-company-ceo-co-founder-of-nrdc-to-head-commerce">Obama taps former energy CEO, green group co-founder for Commerce Chief</a>, <em>The Hill&#8217;s Energy &amp; Environment Blog</em>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Obama praised Bryson in a statement Tuesday announcing his decision.</p>
<p>&#8220;I  am pleased to nominate John Bryson to be our nation’s Secretary of  Commerce, <strong>as he understands what it takes for America to succeed in a  21st century global economy</strong>,&#8221; he said. &#8220;John will be an important part  of my economic team, working with the business community, fostering  growth, and helping open up new markets abroad to promote jobs and  opportunities here at home.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>As Tim Carney <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/TPCarney/status/75597198599004161">tweeted</a>, (thousands of different) &#8220;Subsidies!&#8221; are apparently the answer.</p>
<p>3. The Streetwise Professor <a href="http://streetwiseprofessor.com/?p=5156">comments</a> on the case brought forth by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission against oil speculators (More Reuters commentary <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/26/us-arcada-cftc-lawsuit-idUSTRE74P6GF20110526">here</a>.):</p>
<blockquote><p>Corner manipulation cases are hard: the CFTC has never won one.   Trade impact manipulation cases in which it is alleged that buying or  selling created false perceptions of demand are even harder to analyze  and prove.  Thus, just based on the nature of the allegation alone, the  CFTC has filed a very challenging case.  When one looks at the evidence  the CFTC presents in its complaint, the odds become even higher.  For  the January episode in particular, the most straightforward  interpretation of the evidence cuts squarely against the allegations.   This will be a very difficult case for the agency to win.</p>
<p><strong>There’s another lesson here that has been lost in all of the hue and  cry over the filing of the complaint.  CFTC has been examining the oil  market with a fine tooth comb going back to 2005 if memory serves.  If  this is the best case they can find after all that, the oil market must  be pretty damn clean</strong>.</p></blockquote>
<p>Remember, speculation does play a beneficial role, as explained <a href="http://www.forbes.com/2011/04/19/oil-futures-prices.html">here</a> by Jerry Taylor and  Peter Van Doren.</p>
<p>4. <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB10001424052702304520804576346051736171090-lMyQjAxMTAxMDMwMDEzNDAyWj.html">More Weather Deaths? Wanna Bet?</a>, Donald Boudreaux in <em>The Wall Street Journal</em></p>
<blockquote><p>So confident am I that the number of deaths from violent storms will  continue to decline that I challenge Mr. McKibben—or Al Gore, Paul  Krugman, or any other climate-change doomsayer—to put his wealth where  his words are. I&#8217;ll bet $10,000 that the average annual number of  Americans killed by tornadoes, floods and hurricanes will fall over the  next 20 years. Specifically, I&#8217;ll bet that the average annual number of  Americans killed by these violent weather events from 2011 through 2030  will be lower than it was from 1991 through 2010.</p>
<p>If environmentalists really are convinced that climate change  inevitably makes life on Earth more lethal, this bet for them is a  no-brainer. They can position themselves to earn a cool 10 grand while  demonstrating to a still-skeptical American public the seriousness of  their convictions.</p>
<p>But if no one accepts my bet, what would that fact say about how seriously Americans should treat climate-change doomsaying?</p>
<p>Do I have any takers?</p></blockquote>
<p>A potential <a href="http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2011/05/donald-boudreaux-ill-take-that-bet.html">acceptance</a> by Roger Pielke Jr.</p>
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		<title>H.R. 910: Seizing the Moral High Ground (How to Foil Opponents&#8217; Rhetorical Tricks)</title>
		<link>http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/03/16/battle-over-h-r-910-part-ii-full-committee-approves-34-19/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/03/16/battle-over-h-r-910-part-ii-full-committee-approves-34-19/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Mar 2011 17:29:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marlo Lewis</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bobby Rush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diana DeGett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ed Markey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ed Whitfield]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Tax Prevention Act]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fred Upton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[H.R. 910]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henry Waxman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jay Inslee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerry Taylor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Atheson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Barrow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lisa Jackson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lois Capps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Ross]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter van Doren]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globalwarming.org/?p=7408</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, the House Energy and Commerce Committee approved H.R. 910, the Energy Tax Prevention Act, as amended, by 34-19. The bill would stop EPA from &#8217;legislating&#8217; climate policy through the Clean Air Act. All 31 Republicans and three Democrats (Mike Ross of Arkansas, Jim Matheson of Utah, and John Barrow of Georgia) voted for the bill. Opponents introduced several amendments, [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="post_image_link" href="http://www.globalwarming.org/2011/03/16/battle-over-h-r-910-part-ii-full-committee-approves-34-19/" title="Permanent link to H.R. 910: Seizing the Moral High Ground (How to Foil Opponents&#8217; Rhetorical Tricks)"><img class="post_image aligncenter" src="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/real_stop_sign.jpg" width="400" height="267" alt="Post image for H.R. 910: Seizing the Moral High Ground (How to Foil Opponents&#8217; Rhetorical Tricks)" /></a>
</p><p>Yesterday, the House Energy and Commerce Committee approved H.R. 910, the <a href="http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-112hr910ih/pdf/BILLS-112hr910ih.pdf">Energy Tax Prevention Act</a>, <a href="http://republicans.energycommerce.house.gov/Media/file/Markups/FullCmte/112th/031411/hr910/Matheson_024.pdf">as</a> <a href="http://republicans.energycommerce.house.gov/Media/file/Markups/FullCmte/112th/031411/hr910/BassAmendment.PDF">amended</a>, by 34-19. The bill would stop EPA from &#8217;legislating&#8217; climate policy through the Clean Air Act. All 31 Republicans and three Democrats (Mike Ross of Arkansas, Jim Matheson of Utah, and John Barrow of Georgia) voted for the bill.</p>
<p>Opponents introduced <a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/news/PRArticle.aspx?NewsID=8334">several amendments</a>, all of which were defeated.</p>
<p>Ranking Member Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) offered an amendment stating that Congress accepts EPA&#8217;s finding that &#8220;climate change is unequivocal.&#8221; Rep. Diana DeGett (D-Colo.) offered an amendment stating that Congress accepts as &#8220;compelling&#8221; the scientific evidence that man-made greenhouse gas emissions are the &#8220;root cause&#8221; of climate change. Rep. Jay Inslee (D-Wash.) offered an amendment stating that Congress accepts EPA&#8217;s finding that greenhouse gas emissions endanger public health and welfare. Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.) offered an amendment limiting H.R. 910&#8242;s applicability until the Secretary of Defense certifies that climate change does not threaten U.S. national security interests. Rep. Ed Markey (D-Mass.) offered an amendment allowing EPA to issue greenhouse gas regulations that reduce U.S. oil consumption. Rep. Lois Capps (D-Calif.) offered an amendment limiting H.R. 910&#8242;s applicability until the Centers for Disease Control certify that climate change is not a public health threat. Rep.  Inslee also offered an amendment limiting H.R. 910&#8242;s applicability until the National Academy of Sciences certifies the bill would not increase the incidence of asthma in children.</p>
<p>These amendments had no chance of passing, but that was not their purpose. The objective, rather, was to enable opponents to claim later, when the full House debates the bill, that a vote for H.R. 910 is a vote against science, public health, national security, energy security, and children with asthma. This is arrant nonsense, as I will explain below.<span id="more-7408"></span></p>
<p>Markey&#8217;s <a href="http://republicans.energycommerce.house.gov/Media/file/Markups/FullCmte/112th/031411/hr910/Markey_016.pdf">oil demand reduction amendment</a> was perhaps the cleverest. After all, most Republicans are as <a href="http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/taylor_vandoren_energy_security_obsession.pdf">alarmist</a> about U.S. dependence on foreign oil as are most Democrats. All 31 Republicans voted against Markey&#8217;s amendment, but they had trouble explaining why.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s why Markey&#8217;s amendment deserved defeat. Congress gave the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), not EPA, authority to set fuel economy standards for new motor vehicles. Moreover, Congress gave NHTSA that authority under the 1975 Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA) and 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA). The Clean Air Act provides <em><strong>no authority </strong></em><strong></strong><em><strong>to any agency </strong></em>to set fuel economy standards.</p>
<p>Yet EPA is effectively setting fuel economy standards by establishing greenhouse gas emission standards for new cars and trucks.  ﻿﻿﻿﻿﻿﻿As EPA acknowledges, <a href="http://www.epa.gov/OMS/climate/420f05004.htm">94-95% of motor vehicle greenhouse gas emissions are carbon dioxide from motor fuel combustion</a>. And as both EPA and NHTSA acknowledge, “there is a single pool of technologies for addressing these twin problems [climate change, oil dependence], i.e. those that reduce fuel consumption and thereby reduce CO2 emissions as well” (<a href="http://www.globalwarming.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Final-Tailpipe-Rule.pdf">p. 25327</a>).</p>
<p>In short, by setting greenhouse gas emission standards, EPA has hijacked fuel economy regulation. EPCA authorizes EPA to monitor automakers&#8217; compliance with federal fuel economy standards, but it gives EPA no power to set those standards.</p>
<p>The Markey amendment would reward EPA&#8217;s power grab by dramatically expanding the agency&#8217;s power! As Markey explained, his amendment would authorize EPA to reduce oil consumption throughout the economy &#8212; not just cars and trucks but also aircraft, marine vessels, non-road vehicles and engines, and industrial boilers. <em><strong>This exceeds any authority granted to any agency under any existing federal statute</strong></em>.</p>
<p>It is amazing that Markey would propose to make such a sweeping change in national policy in a one-sentence amendment based on five minutes of debate. Congress typically spends many years debating changes in fuel economy policy before enacting them because so many competing interests come into play even when the changes affect just one subset of one sector of the economy &#8212; passenger vehicles and light duty trucks. Yes, fuel economy standards may reduce oil consumption somewhat. However, fuel economy standards also increase the cost of motor vehicles and restrict consumer choice. More importantly, by encouraging automakers to produce lighter, smaller vehicles that provide less protection in collisions, fuel economy standards increase <a href="http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=10172&amp;page=27">traffic fatalities and serious injuries</a>.</p>
<p>What unintended consequences would ensue from applying fuel economy standards to planes, boats, boilers, etc.? Nobody knows. Congress has never held a hearing to find out. If Markey really wants EPA to control oil consumption throughout the economy, then he should draft a bill, try to find co-sponsors, try to persuade the majority to hold hearings, and try to persuade colleagues and the public to support it. Instead, he attempts through a one-sentence provision not only to legalize EPA&#8217;s hijacking of fuel economy regulation but expand it across the board to all oil-using machines! This sets a new standard for chutzpah.</p>
<p>All of the hostile amendments were designed to trick H.R. 910 supporters into abandoning their moral high ground. All were designed to suck supporters into affirming controversial positions that H.R. 910 neither presupposes nor implies. Opponents&#8217; strategy was to change the subject so that H.R. 910 supporters would end up debating climate science, climate change risk, or oil dependence rather than the constitutional impropriety of EPA &#8216;legislating&#8217; climate and energy policy through the regulatory backdoor. More than a few Republicans took the bait, allowing the other team to define, and thereby occupy, the moral high ground.</p>
<p>When the bill finally gets to the House floor, supporters need to do a better job of anticipating and foiling opponents&#8217; rhetorical tricks. If I were writing a floor statement for an H.R. 910 supporter, it would go something like this:</p>
<blockquote><p>H.R. 910 is called the Energy Tax Prevention Act. It could also be called the Democratic Accountability in Climate Policy Act. Or the Separation of Powers Restoration Act.</p>
<p>What are the premises on which this legislation is based? The Constitution puts Congress, not non-elected bureaucrats, in charge of determining national policy. Congress has never authorized EPA to determine national policy on climate change. The Clean Air Act was enacted in 1970, years before global warming emerged as a policy issue. The terms &#8220;greenhouse gas&#8221; and &#8220;greenhouse effect&#8221; do not even occur in the statute. The Clean Air Act is an even less efficient, less predictable, and potentially more costly framework for restricting the American people’s access to affordable energy than the cap-and-trade legislation that Congress and the public rejected last year.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t take my word for it. Ask EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson, Rep. Ed Markey, and others who only last year warned that if we did not preempt EPA by enacting a cap-and-trade bill, we would get a greenhouse gas regulatory system that cap-and-trade critics would like even less.</p>
<p>I hope we can have a candid debate on H.R. 910. So far, however, opponents have tried to avoid the real issue, which is simply: Who shall make climate policy &#8212; the people’s representatives, or an administrative agency not accountable to the people at the ballot box? Our Constitution permits only one answer to that question.</p>
<p>Opponents say that Congress should step aside and let EPA make climate policy, because Congress won’t enact cap-and-trade or other measures they support.</p>
<p>That’s a very strange notion of democracy. Opponents seem to think they are entitled to win even if they lose in the halls of Congress and the court of public opinion.</p>
<p>H.R. 910 is designed to safeguard the constitutional separation of powers and the political accountability such separation was intended to secure. Opponents don&#8217;t want you to know that. That&#8217;s why they keep trying to change the subject. They want to have a debate on climate science. Or on oil dependence. They have their views on these topics. I have mine. What we think about climate science and oil dependence is irrelevant to what we are debating today.</p>
<p>Today we are not debating what climate and energy policy should be. We are debating who should make it. Some seem to think it’s okay for EPA to exercise power beyond any plausible legislative mandate because they and EPA share the same basic agenda. That’s not right.</p>
<p>No agenda is so important that it excuses congressional passivity or even complicity when an agency gets too big for its britches and starts acting like a Super-Legislature.</p>
<p>EPA is initiating major changes in national policy &#8212; changes fraught with large potential impacts on jobs and the economy. The Clean Air Act does not authorize EPA to establish or tighten fuel economy standards for new cars and trucks, yet that is effectively what it is doing. And EPA will soon be dictating fuel economy standards for aircraft, marine vessels, and non-road vehicles, even though no existing statute authorizes any agency to do that. If not stopped, EPA will eventually issue greenhouse gas performance standards for dozens of industrial categories, and could even be litigated into establishing national ambient air quality standards for greenhouse gases set below current atmospheric concentrations.</p>
<p>America could end up with a greenhouse gas regulatory regime more costly and intrusive than any climate bill Congress has declined to pass, or any climate treaty the Senate has declined to ratify, yet without the people&#8217;s representatives ever voting on it.</p>
<p>Making policy decisions of such economic and political magnitude is above EPA’s pay grade. It is above any administrative agency’s pay grade.</p>
<p>Our opponents claim that we seek to repeal a scientific finding, as if, like King Canute, we were trying to command the tides to halt. That&#8217;s very clever, but it&#8217;s an outrageous misrepresentation.</p>
<p>H.R. 910 does not repeal EPA&#8217;s endangerment finding. Rather, it repeals the <em><strong>Rulemaking </strong></em>in which EPA published its finding. H.R. 910 repeals the legal force and effect of EPA&#8217;s finding. H.R. 910 takes no position whatsoever on the validity of EPA&#8217;s reasoning or conclusions.</p>
<p>Opponents keep asking, ‘What is your plan’ to address climate and energy issues? That is putting the cart way before the horse. Our first order of business is to restore democratic accountability to climate policymaking. Then and only then can Congress, no longer distracted by EPA&#8217;s attempt to narrow our options and prejudge our decisions, consider these issues properly &#8212; on their merits.</p>
<p>Congress is a deliberative body. Sometimes Congress does not act as quickly as some Members would like. Sometimes Congress does not enact legislation that some Members support. That, however, does not authorize EPA to implement far-reaching policy changes Congress has not approved.</p>
<p>The legislative process is often frustrating and slow. It is supposed to be! It moderates our politics and promotes continuity in law and policy. This slow, deliberative legislative process is more valuable than any result that an administrative agency might obtain by doing an end run around it. Of all people, Members of Congress should understand this basic precept of our constitutional system.</p></blockquote>
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