March 2008

Global Conflicts

by Julie Walsh on March 13, 2008

Yesterday, running between flights, I briefly noted how Al “Gore is traveling to Poland and India this week to meet with government officials to continue his efforts to achieve a global climate treaty”, revealing his status as self-appointed roving Climate-treaty Ambassador.

The day before, various news services reported that the man who left office worth under $3 million had just plunked $35 million into a particular “firm that selects the private funds for clients and invests in makers of environmentally friendly products”.  Let us stipulate that Mr. Gore and his advisors are savvy enough to not place all of his wealth in one fund; in fact, the same sources report this wealth as “well in excess of” $100 million.  It’s been a good seven years.

Mr. Gore also has a position in, and position with, a Silicon Valley “green” venture capital outfit – another group of people investing money in companies who would be worth real money under different circumstances – and of course sells carbon “offsets”, which are a bit of window dressing at present but which would be assigned artificial value through artificial (state-created) scarcity under different circumstances.

At this point I want to remind all of the skeptics, who clearly need no reminding, that one’s financial interests dictate or at minimum pollute one’s opinions.  As a certain gentleman recently said, people who disagree with him on this issue do so “because they are locked in a coalition with rich and powerful people who take advantage of the poor for economic profit”.

Like, say, increasing their energy costs? Exporting pollution to countries with lower environmental and other standards, and therefore exporting jobs? Here we see the trouble with this line of argument, that it is not possible to cherry-pick such things, assigning venality to just one side: one cannot logically fault the skeptics’ credibility on the grounds that they receive income related to their advocacy without also faulting Gore’s credibility and that of their heavily compensated rock star alarmists like James Hansen, the “responsible” businesses aiding in the campaign in order to sell windmills, carbon offsets or the like, and so on.

So, in sum, we see the former vice-president traveling the world – though, no doubt, “the planes were going there anyway” – to encourage people in positions of responsibility to whom he has unique access to agree to something that, if they agree, will do for his wealth what the alarmism he has fostered since leaving office has already done, but several times over.

Now imagine the outcry and arguments in the event an oil company’s CEO or emissary assumed this role.

That was a trick, of course. Several oil companies have been doing this for more than a decade. It didn’t work out in time for Enron, though others have picked up where they left off, a story that you never hear. Maybe Mr. Gore has now made the issue safe for substantive debate without the ritual claims of corruption – or else has begged full disclosure of who is meeting with whom advocating what and with what interests at stake. 

Leaders from more than a dozen U.S. environmental groups stood beside Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., in solidarity Wednesday when she announced that the Senate will have a good chance in June to strengthen and pass a landmark bill to slash greenhouse-gas emissions.

The new road to serfdom

by Julie Walsh on March 13, 2008

in Blog

Criticisms of Environment Minister John Baird for the vagueness of the moves announced this week to force oilsands to sequester CO2, and prevent construction of "dirty" coal plants reflects the Alice in Wonderland quality of the climate-change non-debate. Opposition parties brayed that he had not been "tough" enough. Media headlines suggested that big emitters had "won."

One Cooler Head

by Julie Walsh on March 13, 2008

in Blog

Until his Damascus moment, Miklos Zagoni, a physicist and environmental researcher, had been touted as his nation's "most outspoken supporter of the Kyoto Protocol." But then this activist saw the work of a fellow Hungarian scientist. His world was rocked. "I fell in love" with the theory, he told DailyTech.com.

Ferenc Miskolczi, an atmospheric physicist at NASA's Langley Research Center with three decades of experience, had found that researchers have been repeating a mistake when calculating the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on temperatures.

The world's top greenhouse gas polluters will try to work out ways to curb carbon emissions from industries and fund cleaner energy projects for poorer nations when they gather in Japan from Friday.

The G20, ranging from top polluters the United States and China to Indonesia, Brazil and South Africa, emit about 80 percent of mankind's greenhouse gases.

European politicians at a carbon conference today in Copenhagen had an 800-pound gorilla on stage with them.

Norway’s Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg and Denmark’s Minister for Climate and Energy Connia Hedegaard both hail from Scandinavian countries that have taken aggressive measures to fight climate change. They both made passionate pleas for the world to join together to cut emissions. But the gorilla remains—how to get developing countries and major emitters like India and China to join in?

America and China face trade protection measures from Europe if they fail to join a global climate deal to replace the Kyoto Protocol, EU leaders will caution at their summit in Brussels today.

Nations that refuse to curb greenhouse gases will be told that they face “appropriate measures” — code for trade sanctions — if they try to gain a competitive advantage by continuing to allow cheap, high-pollution production.

Will Wilkinson had a very nice comment on NPR's Marketplace Morning. I once had an economics professor who started off his course by explaining that economics is the science of happiness, how to maximize happiness, and this comment reminded me of this.

I also thought about the argument from Vaclav Klaus at the 2008 International Conference on Climate Change where he said:

"I am afraid there are people who want to stop the economic growth, the rise in the standard of living (though not their own) and the ability of man to use the expanding wealth, science and technology for solving the actual pressing problems of mankind, especially of the developing countries. This ambition goes very much against the past human experience which has always been connected with a strong motivation to go ahead and to better human conditions."

But back to Wilkinson, here is an excerpt from his speech, but spend the five minutes to listen to his entire commentary. It will be a feel good moment worth 5 minutes of your day.

"Now, if you're forced to choose between a rewarding job and a lot of money, choose the rewarding job. Happiness research doesn't say you should aim to be wealthier. What it says is that, if you hold everything else constant — the richness of your relationships, the joy of your work — a little more money tends to makes us feel a little bit better.

But the corollary for politics is that economic growth and public happiness tend to move in the same direction. The political choice to put a brake on growth is not the social equivalent of choosing a lower-paying, but more meaningful job. It's the choice to make tens of millions of people slightly less happy than they otherwise might have been.

Maybe something is worth that cost. I just can't imagine what it might be."

The Danish Energy Department paid a researcher to promote their climate policy strategy in debates with Bjørn Lomborg. Peter Laut billed about 500 hours of work to the Energy Department a year during the previous administration in Denmark. The other member of the Energy Department's climate advisory group was sued for libel after he accused a documentary film maker of being "paid for by the oil industry."

It is not unusual for scientists to be paid advisors to the government, but Laut wrote commentaries for the Minister of the Environment and promoted the government's climate policy in the media and in public debates. After a debate in Aalborg in 1999, he wrote in his invoice for the 80 hours of preparation time, that "the project was a succes, for once Lomborg was the one that looked like a fool." He presented himself as an engineering professor from The Technical University in Denmark during the debate and did not disclose his ties to the Energy department.

Rogue Nation

by Julie Walsh on March 12, 2008

From Planet Gore

The Wall Street Journal reports the following, which raises some interesting questions:

"For his part, Kreider said [former VP Al] Gore is traveling to Poland and India this week to meet with government officials to continue his efforts to achieve a global climate treaty."

Must be that granting Al Gore nation-state status was the next logical step, and about the only thing left. But, what if Tipper refuses to ratify the agreement?