Julie Walsh

China has already overtaken the US as the world's "biggest polluter", a report to be published next month says. The research suggests the country's greenhouse gas emissions have been underestimated, and probably passed those of the US in 2006-2007.

Here’s a government press release about the Baskin Formation, reading in pertinent part:

North Dakota and Montana have an estimated 3.0 to 4.3 billion barrels of undiscovered, technically recoverable oil in an area known as the Bakken Formation.

 

A U.S. Geological Survey assessment, released April 10, shows a 25-fold increase in the amount of oil that can be recovered compared to the agency's 1995 estimate of 151 million barrels of oil.

Ladies and gentlemen, I believe we have just discovered a new “ecological gem” to be protected as-is at all costs.

The U.S. is wrestling with the worst food inflation in 17 years, and analysts expect new data due on Wednesday to show it's getting worse. That's putting the squeeze on poor families and forcing bakeries, bagel shops and delis to explain price increases to their customers. U.S. food prices rose 4 percent in 2007, compared with an average 2.5 percent annual rise for the last 15 years, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. And the agency says 2008 could be worse, with a rise of as much as 4.5 percent.

The "credits" sold by EcoSecurities and its rivals are supposed to fund clean-air projects in the developing world that otherwise wouldn't get built. But the U.N. is worried that players in the market may be gaming the system by putting a green imprimatur on some projects that would have happened anyway, defeating the intent of the U.N. program.

Every time a new coal-fired power plant is proposed anywhere in the United States, a lawyer from the Sierra Club or an allied environmental group is assigned to stop it, by any bureaucratic or legal means necessary. They might frame the battle as a matter of zoning or water use, but the larger war is over global warming: Coal puts twice as much temperature-raising carbon dioxide into the atmosphere as natural gas, second to coal as the most common power plant fuel.

There are strong suggestions circulating that President Bush is about to ask Congress to pass a bill on global warming.  The story even made the front page of the Washington Times today.  What's going on?

My hope is that this is actually a "trial balloon."  As we used to say in the British government when leaking a potentially unpopular idea, "Let's run up a flag and see who salutes." 

The purported reason for the call is because the Administration has correctly realized the extent of the mess it is in following the ridiculous decision by the Supreme Court last year (in Massachusetts v EPA) that the Clean Air Act can apply to carbon dioxide.  For the legally minded, a good rundown of exactly why this was a bad decision can be found here.  In any event, the Administration now faces a regulatory nightmare forced on the nation by the use of the Clean Air Act, Endangered Species Act and the National Environmental Protection Act to take the action on global warming that environmental zealots want but Congress has been reluctant to take.  The EPA has, very sensibly, announced a wide public consultation so that people can voice their concerns about what regulations under the CAA would mean for them.

So, one might argue, the President would be right to take this action and call on Congress to take action and avoid the regulatory morass.  That'd be wrong.  What the activists have done via their court actions is to say, 'Pretty nice economy you got there.  Shame if someone came along and wrecked it.'  This is policy extortion and the President should not give in to it.  Any bill proposed by the White House is likely to be unacceptable to the zealots and their Congressional allies, but the President's concession that "something must be done" will stregthen their hand immensely.  So what we are likely to end up with is a much stronger global warming bill that probably also leaves the regulatory nightmare unaffected, because they will not stand by and allow any teeth to be pulled from their precious CAA, ESA or NEPA.  We'd end up with the worst of both worlds.

If this is a trial flag, first indications appear to be that House Republicans, far from saluting, want to tear it down and set it on fire.  If so, that's a time I'd approve of flag burning.

President Bush is poised to change course and announce as early as this week that he wants Congress to pass a bill to combat global warming, and will lay out principles for what that should include. Specifics of the policy are still being fiercely debated, but Bush administration officials have told Republicans in Congress that they feel pressure to act now because they fear a coming regulatory nightmare. It would be the first time Mr. Bush has called for statutory authority on the subject.

Leaders in Haiti are looking for a new prime minister as the Caribbean nation tries to recover from a week of deadly food riots. Haitian lawmakers dismissed Prime Minister Jacques Edouard Alexis on April 12, saying he had not done enough to improve the economy or to keep soaring food prices under control.

The diversion of food crops to biofuel production was a significant factor contributing to global food prices rocketing by 83% in the last year, and causing violent conflicts in Haiti and other parts of the world. Haiti was rocked by violent protests this week, leaving 5 dead, hundreds injured and resulting in parliament passing a vote of no confidence against Prime Minister Jacques-Edouard Alexis for failing to take enough action on high food prices. And food related civil unrest appears to be a growing, according to a study by the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO), which warned that food riots have also taken place in Egypt, Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Mauritania, Madagascar and the Philippines in the past month.

One of the most influential scientists behind the theory that global warming has intensified recent hurricane activity says he will reconsider his stand. The hurricane expert, Kerry Emanuel of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, unveiled a novel technique for predicting future hurricane activity this week. The new work suggests that, even in a dramatically warming world, hurricane frequency and intensity may not substantially rise during the next two centuries.