EU Emissions

by William Yeatman on June 18, 2008

Taking a break for a moment from domestic politics, let's turn to our supposed model for rationing GHG emissions: Europe. The EU has just released its report to the UNFCCC, “Annual European Community greenhouse gas inventory 1990–2006 and inventory report 2008” (summary here). The short version of the story is that the report does not support either a claim that the EU is “on track” to meet emission reduction promises, or that the ETS is a success.

This is true although the document claims a 2006 GHG emission reduction of 08.% over 2005, following on an equivalent reduction in 2005 over 2004.

That of course won't get them anywhere near where they need to go, and I'm still poring over details (though already I've encountered extensive explanations of wholesale revisions of past claims, "no explanation offered" about certain important claims, and an admission that certain reduction data is facially suspect and likely to be the subject of revision).

But notable is how different this is from preliminary indications, detailed earlier here. One possible explanation for the discrepancy is one reality that jumps out in a first reading of the report, that the GHG reductions largely did not come from CO2.

Still, those early reports from industry just don't jibe that well with the official Brussels claim of a reduction. As I wrote here, there is every  reason to take this and all EU GHG reports with a grain of salt given the EU's rather breathtaking willingness to fudge its numbers.

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